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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+7.08vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.24+9.02vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+6.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+5.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.59+4.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.09vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.50+2.61vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.79vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.58+0.17vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.73+3.01vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-3.64vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-5.52vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-3.57vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-3.22vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-8.57vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.05-5.35vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.54-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.02University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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13.01Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.36Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.43Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.78Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.65Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 22.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.