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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+8.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.54+7.65vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+6.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+2.78vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+1.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.10vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-0.72vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51+0.51vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.73+3.06vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58-1.64vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.60-2.46vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.59-3.97vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-3.54vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.05-7.87vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-5.30vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.97-5.05vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.65Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.06Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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10.46Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.7University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.95Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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11.31Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 22.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.