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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+9.24vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+7.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+5.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+5.13vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.19vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60+3.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01+0.36vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.73vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+3.78vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.50-0.16vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.07vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.59-3.96vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-4.92vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-3.17vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-4.43vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.22-6.08vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.13Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.19Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.16College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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7.36Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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12.78Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.83Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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11.57Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.92Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Rohde | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 19.4% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.