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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+8.78vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+5.57vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.51+6.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+3.76vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+5.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.22+4.80vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73+5.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-1.51vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-0.42vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-3.69vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-4.30vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-3.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.58-5.06vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.60-5.90vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-4.39vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.59-7.71vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.97-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.75George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.8Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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12.76Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.31Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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11.61Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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11.68Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 20.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Amina Brown | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% |
| Christina Lewis | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.