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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+8.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.41vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.59+6.38vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+8.57vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.51+4.38vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+4.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.13vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.97+3.72vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-1.48vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54-0.35vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.54vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-2.34vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-5.72vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-3.52vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-3.51vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-8.11vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.56-7.49vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.50-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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12.57Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.74University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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11.72Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.65Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.66Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.49Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.39Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 21.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
| Amina Brown | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.