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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.58+8.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.38vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.59+5.06vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.73+7.57vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+5.89vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.24+3.69vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-0.47vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-1.89vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.50-1.30vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-2.06vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-3.83vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-6.87vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.60-5.91vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-4.38vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.22-6.09vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.54-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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12.57Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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11.89Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.69University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.7Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.94George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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11.62Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.91Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 21.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Amina Brown | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.