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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+6.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+6.48vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+3.27vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+4.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+3.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.01vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.60+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.59-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.29vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.22-0.81vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-2.48vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.05-2.83vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-3.23vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.50-6.35vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.51-7.36vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.73-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.19Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.52University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.17Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.77Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.65Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.64George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.63Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Christina Lewis | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.