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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.59+7.33vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+6.52vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.50+5.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+1.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.22+2.60vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+3.72vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54-0.42vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-2.46vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05-1.76vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.60-5.23vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.51-5.69vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.97-4.18vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-9.55vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.6Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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12.72Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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11.24Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.39University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 19.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.