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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.58+8.34vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.50+6.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+3.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.59+2.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-0.95vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+3.72vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54-0.38vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97+0.83vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-1.01vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.60-4.09vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-5.12vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.22-4.37vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-6.53vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.58-7.72vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.75Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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7.05Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.72Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.62Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.83Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.99University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.63Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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11.23Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 18.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.