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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+3.95vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.41+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.25-0.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98-0.85vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03-1.92vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.70-2.37vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.06+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.49-0.07vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.10-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Harvard University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.32Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Miami3.250.2%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University2.980.2%1st Place
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3.08Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.63Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.53Middlebury College-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.93University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.52Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Millham | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 26.2% | 16.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 21.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| William Howard | 24.4% | 22.5% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 21.1% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 22.9% | 22.5% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 15.0% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anna Briggs | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 26.0% | 34.9% | 25.2% |
| William Trumper | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 18.2% | 26.1% | 45.6% |
| Josh Basseches | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 25.2% | 31.7% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.