← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.58+8.44vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.50+7.83vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.59+6.43vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.56+5.17vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.60+4.09vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.73+6.79vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.32vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.97+3.73vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.08vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.96-2.15vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.54-1.50vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.51-2.05vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.05-1.69vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.91-6.49vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida2.24-4.39vs Predicted
-
16Yale University3.05-8.72vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.01-9.47vs Predicted
-
18Boston College2.22-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.44Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.83Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.43University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
-
9.17Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.09College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
-
12.79Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
11.73Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.85University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.5Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
9.95George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
11.31Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.51Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
10.61University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
7.28Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.53Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
10.59Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 21.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Amina Brown | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.