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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.45vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.59+7.40vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+7.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+3.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+4.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+1.76vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.50+2.50vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+1.29vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+3.82vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+2.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.23vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.05-0.12vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.60-4.00vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-5.05vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-7.72vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-6.41vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.22-6.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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10.96University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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12.82Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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12.06Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.88Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.89Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 19.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 13.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.7% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.