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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.51+8.67vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+7.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.54vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.50+5.44vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.73+7.61vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+5.87vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+0.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.04vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.05+2.59vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-2.52vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-0.89vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.58-3.88vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.59-5.18vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.60-5.93vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.54-6.48vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.22-6.12vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.91-10.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.61Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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11.87Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.59Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.48Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.11University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.52Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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10.88Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Sinagra | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 21.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.