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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.52vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.50+7.82vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+6.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+3.74vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.59+4.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+3.38vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.60+2.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-0.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.11vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.22+1.03vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.73+1.84vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.97+0.22vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-3.63vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-6.90vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-3.53vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-8.34vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-6.20vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.56-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.82Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.03Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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12.84Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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12.22Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.37George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.47Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.8University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 21.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 16.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.