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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.46vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+7.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+4.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.06vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.73+2.00vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.39+6.97vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+2.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.88vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo2.44+2.50vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.83-4.38vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.04vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-1.57vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.11-4.40vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.23vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.19-2.67vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.64-9.70vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire0.33-0.15vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University2.97-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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13.97University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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12.43Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.6Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.77SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.3Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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18.85University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 4.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 1.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 6.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 9.5% | 75.2% |
| Dirk Johnson | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.