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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+9.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+6.97vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+7.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+5.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.22vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-1.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.97vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68+3.44vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.73-2.10vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.97+0.30vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-3.53vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.19+1.73vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-6.56vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo2.44-1.60vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-2.38vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.83vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-8.26vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-8.22vs Predicted
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20University of New Hampshire0.33-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.82SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.72Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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5.58Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.9College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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11.3Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.47Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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14.73University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.44Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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18.92University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.9% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 8.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.