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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.04+0.82vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.41+0.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-0.63vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1338.9%1st Place
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2.82University of Pennsylvania1.0421.2%1st Place
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3.38Cornell University0.4112.6%1st Place
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3.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6412.7%1st Place
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3.31SUNY Maritime College0.5014.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 38.9% | 27.8% | 19.6% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Ian Fox | 21.2% | 23.9% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 14.5% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 12.6% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 25.1% | 26.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 12.7% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 24.2% | 27.6% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 14.6% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.