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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.70vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+5.21vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.61+1.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+4.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+2.67vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.68+2.46vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+2.02vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.46vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-3.58vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-1.14vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.83-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.35+1.08vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.54-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-2.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.50-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.93-4.77vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.60-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.02Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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5.42Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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7.92Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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13.08University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.75University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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15.0Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Allison Blecher | 16.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Christina Baker | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 22.2% | 20.7% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 8.1% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 7.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.