Race 3B

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Millham 6.2% 8.0% 8.0% 12.3% 17.1% 28.8% 15.5% 3.4% 0.7%
Vincent Marchetto 7.8% 10.8% 14.9% 16.2% 21.2% 19.7% 7.6% 1.5% 0.3%
Ian Towill 20.5% 18.2% 19.7% 18.4% 13.3% 7.5% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Mariel Marchand 19.4% 20.9% 20.2% 16.5% 12.5% 8.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
William Howard 28.9% 23.1% 16.6% 13.6% 10.8% 5.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Anna Briggs 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 3.9% 6.9% 25.3% 31.5% 27.4%
Josh Basseches 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 2.3% 3.6% 5.2% 25.8% 33.7% 26.4%
Luke O'Connor 15.1% 16.4% 16.7% 17.3% 15.7% 13.0% 5.2% 0.6% 0.0%
William Trumper 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 5.1% 15.0% 28.9% 45.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.