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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+5.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+5.75vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+5.33vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.23+9.57vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20+4.46vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+3.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77+0.40vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+1.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.58vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-0.89vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-4.23vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-0.75vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-5.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.73vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78+1.71vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-3.94vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-0.62vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia1.99-4.62vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College3.25-10.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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13.57University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.07Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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17.71University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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13.06Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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17.38University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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9.47SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brad Carvalho | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Rees | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Simone Staff | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 19.5% | 45.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 26.0% | 34.7% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 7.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.