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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.50vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+4.28vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+5.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20+3.64vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+2.60vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.99+6.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+4.08vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-0.62vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-3.82vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.51-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.78+4.92vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.61-6.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.70vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.16vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.25-8.57vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.23-5.53vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo1.00-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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13.08Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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17.92University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.43SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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17.37University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Rees | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 6.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 21.0% | 47.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Simone Staff | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 25.3% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.