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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+4.72vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.80+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.07+4.40vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+3.60vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+2.60vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81-1.14vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+4.31vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48+1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.51+0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.24+0.77vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.13vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.20+0.13vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-4.30vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.32-1.59vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.07-6.84vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.52-9.85vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.43-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Tulane University1.7311.9%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University1.8014.4%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida1.077.5%1st Place
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7.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.926.8%1st Place
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7.6Northeastern University1.186.5%1st Place
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4.86College of Charleston1.8115.0%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College0.522.2%1st Place
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9.28Jacksonville University0.484.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Hawaii0.512.9%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont0.243.1%1st Place
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11.13Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Rhode Island-0.201.3%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.835.1%1st Place
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12.41Fordham University-0.321.8%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University1.075.8%1st Place
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6.15Old Dominion University1.529.3%1st Place
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15.14University of Michigan-1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 14.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 6.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| Lina Carper | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 12.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Marina Conde | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 14.3% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.