Race 4B

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ian Towill 20.8% 19.4% 18.9% 16.9% 13.2% 8.1% 2.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Sam Millham 4.8% 4.8% 10.0% 12.5% 16.2% 29.7% 16.9% 3.8% 1.3%
William Howard 24.9% 22.7% 18.7% 15.1% 11.3% 6.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Vincent Marchetto 11.1% 12.8% 14.2% 16.9% 19.6% 18.5% 5.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Luke O'Connor 15.7% 18.6% 15.4% 16.4% 16.9% 11.5% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Mariel Marchand 19.9% 19.1% 19.2% 16.4% 15.0% 8.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Anna Briggs 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 3.4% 5.4% 26.0% 36.2% 23.8%
Josh Basseches 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 6.8% 26.0% 30.3% 28.6%
William Trumper 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 5.4% 15.7% 27.4% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.