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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.87+9.91vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+3.89vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+5.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.49vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25+3.43vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61+1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.99+6.32vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-2.06vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.21vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-2.65vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34+0.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-1.51vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.51-7.80vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.77-10.00vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.20-8.41vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire0.78-1.24vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo1.00-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.91University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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6.89Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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14.32University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.29SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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13.42Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.2Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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17.76University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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17.38University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gallagher | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Rees | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Simone Staff | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Brad Carvalho | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 3.6% |
| Alex Post | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 21.9% | 43.6% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 23.7% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.