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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+5.75vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+7.33vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+6.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+7.14vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+6.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.67vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.89-2.40vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-2.85vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23+2.65vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.61-4.01vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.99+1.73vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-0.93vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.00+2.20vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.08vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.78+0.73vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-8.67vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-9.96vs Predicted
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20Georgetown University3.51-11.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.33Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.25SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.65University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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14.73University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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13.07Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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17.2University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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17.73University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Simone Staff | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 7.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 23.0% | 35.5% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 22.5% | 42.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.