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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+6.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+6.23vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+6.49vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.30vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.98vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+1.19vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+2.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-1.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.56vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-3.32vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-3.15vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.61vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78+3.81vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.99-0.67vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo1.00+0.28vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.97vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-7.89vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island2.23-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.3SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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6.53Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.68College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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17.81University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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13.03Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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17.28University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Simone Staff | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 19.6% | 45.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 6.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 24.0% | 34.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Brad Carvalho | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.