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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+7.12vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+7.29vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+6.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+2.64vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+7.64vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+2.65vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.61-0.43vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-2.39vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-3.76vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-2.25vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.71vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78+2.68vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.53vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-4.00vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.99-3.42vs Predicted
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19University of Buffalo1.00-1.70vs Predicted
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20Harvard University3.79-12.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.64College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.26SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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17.68University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.0Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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17.3University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Rees | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brad Carvalho | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Simone Staff | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 46.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 6.4% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 24.4% | 34.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.