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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.61vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+6.36vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+6.63vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+2.79vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+4.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.89vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61+1.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.62vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.32vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.79-2.83vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-3.70vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.74vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.15-0.03vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.20-5.39vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-2.82vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.99-2.57vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.83vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire0.78-1.21vs Predicted
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20University of Buffalo1.00-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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6.79College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.89Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.18Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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17.79University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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17.41University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charles Rees | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Simone Staff | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
| Nellie Hamilton | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 5.4% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 6.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 21.6% | 43.8% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 23.2% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.