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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.88+2.42vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-1.09+8.06vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.14+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.08+3.94vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.45+3.70vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-0.78+3.44vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-2.69vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.30-5.34vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.35-2.26vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.51-3.63vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.72-4.95vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee0.16-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Clemson University1.880.2%1st Place
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10.06North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.95North Carolina State University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.44Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.31Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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2.66College of Charleston2.300.3%1st Place
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6.74The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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6.37Clemson University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.05Duke University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Tennessee0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Roberts | 20.1% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 21.1% | 39.0% |
| Benton Morton | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Pyles | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Weber | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 26.7% |
| John Reddaway | 12.2% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hause | 32.6% | 23.5% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Katsis | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.