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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.46vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.30+0.68vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.88+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.08+3.96vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.72+0.99vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.14-1.03vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.51-0.60vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.42-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee0.16-1.78vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-0.78-0.62vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-0.45-2.12vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.09-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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2.68College of Charleston2.300.3%1st Place
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3.38Clemson University1.880.2%1st Place
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7.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.99Duke University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.97North Carolina State University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.4Clemson University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.59The Citadel0.420.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Tennessee0.160.0%1st Place
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9.38Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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10.09North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 13.0% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Hause | 29.5% | 26.8% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 20.8% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Pyles | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 7.2% |
| Alexander Katsis | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Benton Morton | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 22.4% | 25.5% |
| Matthew Weber | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.