Race 5B

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ian Towill 21.9% 19.4% 19.2% 16.8% 12.4% 7.5% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
William Howard 21.2% 24.3% 18.6% 16.9% 11.4% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Millham 6.4% 6.7% 9.3% 13.0% 14.9% 28.9% 16.5% 4.0% 0.3%
Mariel Marchand 21.3% 19.0% 18.5% 16.2% 14.5% 8.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
William Trumper 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 2.2% 6.3% 18.5% 26.1% 43.6%
Vincent Marchetto 11.6% 12.1% 14.6% 16.7% 19.3% 18.1% 6.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Josh Basseches 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 3.7% 4.8% 23.1% 35.8% 27.8%
Luke O'Connor 15.5% 15.6% 15.7% 15.8% 18.8% 13.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Anna Briggs 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 2.8% 6.3% 25.7% 31.7% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.