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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.80+3.83vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+5.47vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+4.87vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+1.77vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+3.22vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island-0.20+4.99vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81-3.13vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.07-1.55vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52+1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.51-1.61vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.71vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-4.27vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-4.73vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.32-2.72vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-5.09vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.43-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Georgetown University1.8016.2%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University1.187.2%1st Place
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7.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.926.2%1st Place
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5.77Tulane University1.7311.3%1st Place
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8.22George Washington University1.075.0%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University1.529.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Rhode Island-0.201.9%1st Place
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4.87College of Charleston1.8114.6%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida1.076.0%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College0.522.4%1st Place
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9.39University of Hawaii0.514.1%1st Place
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11.29Christopher Newport University-0.842.2%1st Place
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8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.3%1st Place
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9.27Jacksonville University0.484.1%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University-0.321.7%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont0.242.8%1st Place
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14.85University of Michigan-1.430.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 16.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Marina Conde | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 9.4% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| Lina Carper | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 11.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.