← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University1.41+2.68vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel0.99+2.45vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.74-1.19vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-0.54+3.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Georgia-1.71+4.97vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.38-2.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-1.45+2.38vs Predicted
-
8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90+0.31vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-4.04vs Predicted
-
10Auburn University-1.38-0.68vs Predicted
-
11Duke University-0.07-4.25vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University-0.69-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.68Clemson University1.410.1%1st Place
-
4.45The Citadel0.990.1%1st Place
-
1.81College of Charleston2.740.5%1st Place
-
7.65Clemson University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
9.97University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
-
3.7North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
-
9.38University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
-
8.31Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
-
4.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
-
9.32Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
-
6.75Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.02North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 13.1% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hammond Edwards | 7.7% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 51.4% | 28.0% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cali McGovern | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 34.6% |
| David Rogers | 13.8% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 21.2% | 23.0% |
| Scott Claudon | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| Cassie Todd | 5.5% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 22.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Paulina Spencer | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.