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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.74+0.89vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38+1.68vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.07+3.57vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.54+3.69vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.41-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.71+3.96vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90+1.24vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.99-3.61vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.69-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-5.00vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-1.45-1.42vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-1.38-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89College of Charleston2.740.5%1st Place
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3.68North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.57Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.69Clemson University-0.540.0%1st Place
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3.74Clemson University1.410.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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8.24Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
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4.39The Citadel0.990.1%1st Place
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7.83North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.41Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mackey | 47.2% | 30.9% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 13.0% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Cali McGovern | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 13.1% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 36.0% |
| Scott Claudon | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 8.3% |
| Hammond Edwards | 9.2% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paulina Spencer | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Cassie Todd | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 23.6% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.