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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+3.19vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.74-0.42vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.38+0.03vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.54+2.79vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.69+2.04vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.06-0.60vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.07-1.41vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.68-1.06vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.67+0.09vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-2.37+0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-1.45-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.71-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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1.58College of Charleston2.740.6%1st Place
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3.03North Carolina State University1.380.2%1st Place
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6.79Clemson University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.04North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.4Clemson University0.060.0%1st Place
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5.59Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.94The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.09Georgia Institute of Technology-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.3Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassie Todd | 7.6% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 61.1% | 25.0% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 15.7% | 27.6% | 23.2% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cali McGovern | 1.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Paulina Spencer | 1.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Jeffery Kaisner | 3.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 3.6% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Scott Adams | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Gins Holde | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 14.0% |
| Edward Martin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 45.2% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.2% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 22.3% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.