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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.74+0.59vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.14vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.06+1.38vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.54+1.76vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.68+1.06vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.69-0.04vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.67+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-1.45-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.71-0.85vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.07-5.17vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-2.37-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59College of Charleston2.740.6%1st Place
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3.03North Carolina State University1.380.2%1st Place
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4.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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5.38Clemson University0.060.0%1st Place
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6.76Clemson University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.06The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.96North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.08Georgia Institute of Technology-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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5.83Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.4Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mackey | 60.4% | 26.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 15.4% | 29.6% | 21.9% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 8.7% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffery Kaisner | 3.1% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cali McGovern | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Scott Adams | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Paulina Spencer | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Gins Holde | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 17.4% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 10.8% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 17.2% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Edward Martin | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.