← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.18+6.44vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.80+2.76vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.07+5.19vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.52+2.33vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.51+4.49vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston1.81-1.20vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.18vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-0.22vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University1.73-3.20vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.24+0.95vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.07-3.55vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University0.48-2.71vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.25vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-5.09vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University-0.32-2.76vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.52-4.50vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan-1.43-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.44Northeastern University1.186.7%1st Place
-
4.76Georgetown University1.8014.9%1st Place
-
8.19George Washington University1.076.2%1st Place
-
6.33Old Dominion University1.5210.5%1st Place
-
9.49University of Hawaii0.513.9%1st Place
-
4.8College of Charleston1.8114.1%1st Place
-
11.18Christopher Newport University-0.842.9%1st Place
-
7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.926.4%1st Place
-
5.8Tulane University1.7310.0%1st Place
-
10.95University of Vermont0.242.8%1st Place
-
7.45University of South Florida1.076.6%1st Place
-
9.29Jacksonville University0.484.5%1st Place
-
11.75University of Rhode Island-0.202.2%1st Place
-
8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.4%1st Place
-
12.24Fordham University-0.321.7%1st Place
-
11.5Connecticut College0.521.8%1st Place
-
15.13University of Michigan-1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Doble | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Marina Conde | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 5.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
| Lina Carper | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 11.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 6.9% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.