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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.25+1.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+1.36vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+0.18vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+0.86vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.10+2.50vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41-1.87vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.70-3.33vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.06-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.49-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Miami3.250.3%1st Place
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3.36Tufts University2.980.2%1st Place
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3.18Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.86Harvard University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.5Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.13Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.67Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.48Middlebury College-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.96University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Howard | 25.9% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 17.4% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 21.2% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Millham | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 28.7% | 14.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 25.4% | 30.1% | 28.3% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 11.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anna Briggs | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 24.4% | 35.6% | 24.9% |
| William Trumper | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 16.3% | 27.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.