← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.82vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.38vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.98vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.38+2.96vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.22-0.45vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy1.22+5.11vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University2.21+0.61vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook0.94+3.95vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+2.23vs Predicted
-
10Colgate University1.10+1.76vs Predicted
-
11Queen's University0.63+2.11vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.47-4.98vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University1.65-3.57vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.56-4.39vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University0.31-1.05vs Predicted
-
16University of Rochester0.94-3.91vs Predicted
-
17University of Rochester0.94-4.91vs Predicted
-
18Syracuse University-1.14-1.08vs Predicted
-
19University of Maryland2.18-11.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.3%1st Place
-
4.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
8.98SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.96Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.55U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
-
11.11U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
7.61Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
-
11.95SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
-
11.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
11.76Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
-
13.11Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
-
7.02Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.43Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
9.61Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
-
13.95Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
-
12.09University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
-
12.09University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
-
16.92Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 29.9% | 24.6% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 14.3% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 22.6% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 71.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.