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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.67vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.23vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.87+4.72vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21+2.59vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.22+4.03vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.65+1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.94+3.04vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.47-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland2.18-3.18vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.63+1.32vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-1.93vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.94-1.96vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.56-5.39vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.94-4.02vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.31-2.93vs Predicted
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18Colgate University1.10-6.37vs Predicted
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19Syracuse University-1.14-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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2.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.3%1st Place
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8.72SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.59Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.07Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.49Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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13.32Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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9.61Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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11.98SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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14.07Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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11.63Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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16.77Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 14.5% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 29.3% | 26.8% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 5.0% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Keally | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 22.8% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 69.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.