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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.27vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29+4.26vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland1.00+6.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+2.62vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.69+2.12vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.24-0.82vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.87vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-2.63vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.09+3.44vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.23-1.24vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.31-2.36vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.60-4.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.51-2.23vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.19-2.02vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.45+0.54vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.05-3.49vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.93-2.46vs Predicted
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19University of Rochester-1.45-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.2%1st Place
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6.26Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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5.25Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.12Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.18Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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5.13SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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6.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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13.44Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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9.76SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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9.64Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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12.98Queen's University0.190.0%1st Place
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16.54University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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13.51Columbia University0.050.0%1st Place
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15.54Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
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16.54University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Cooper | 18.0% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 12.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Juckniess | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Babier | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 54.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fagundo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McCandless | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 29.9% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 54.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.