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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+4.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+4.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+3.58vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.13vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute2.29+0.07vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.24-0.79vs Predicted
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8Colgate University1.69-0.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy0.51+3.06vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.19+3.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.60-2.50vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.23-2.04vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.09+0.12vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.31-4.91vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.05-1.58vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.45+0.57vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland1.00-6.44vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.93-2.44vs Predicted
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19University of Rochester-1.45-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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4.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.2%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.13SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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6.07Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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6.21Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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7.97Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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13.14Queen's University0.190.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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9.96SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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13.12Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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9.09Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.42Columbia University0.050.0%1st Place
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16.57University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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15.56Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
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16.57University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 16.3% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.5% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Babier | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Juckniess | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fagundo | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 19.1% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McCandless | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 30.3% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 19.1% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.