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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.25+1.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+0.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.03-0.94vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41-0.96vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.70-2.36vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.10+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.49-0.07vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.06-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Harvard University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Miami3.250.2%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University2.980.2%1st Place
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3.06Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.04Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.64Harvard University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.58Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.93University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.49Middlebury College-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Millham | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 28.2% | 16.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| William Howard | 21.1% | 23.9% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 19.1% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 23.2% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke O'Connor | 15.5% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 24.5% | 35.1% | 26.9% |
| William Trumper | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 17.8% | 26.2% | 45.8% |
| Anna Briggs | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 26.4% | 32.1% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.