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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.80+4.03vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+5.69vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+6.44vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+1.90vs Predicted
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5Fordham University-0.32+7.44vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+1.39vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+4.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.51+0.47vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.07-2.61vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-6.24vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.52-5.73vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.20vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.01vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-7.17vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.43-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Georgetown University1.8013.5%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.927.1%1st Place
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9.44Jacksonville University0.484.2%1st Place
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5.9Tulane University1.7310.0%1st Place
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12.44Fordham University-0.321.8%1st Place
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7.39Northeastern University1.187.1%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College0.522.6%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University1.074.8%1st Place
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9.47University of Hawaii0.514.0%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida1.078.0%1st Place
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4.76College of Charleston1.8114.4%1st Place
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6.27Old Dominion University1.528.8%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island-0.202.2%1st Place
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10.99Christopher Newport University-0.843.5%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.9%1st Place
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15.14University of Michigan-1.430.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 13.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 8.4% |
| Laura Smith | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% |
| Lina Carper | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.