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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+4.95vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+2.66vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.24+2.62vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.31+4.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.31vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.69+1.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.51+4.08vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute2.29-2.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-2.18vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.23-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.60+3.35vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-1.45+4.28vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.09-0.71vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.19-2.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.60-7.47vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.05-3.38vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-3.62vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.93-3.07vs Predicted
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19University of Rochester-1.45-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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4.66Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.62Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University1.310.0%1st Place
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3.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.2%1st Place
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7.28Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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5.32Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.96SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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16.28University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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12.29Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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11.88Queen's University0.190.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Naval Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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12.62Columbia University0.050.0%1st Place
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13.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.93Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
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16.28University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 12.4% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Juckniess | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 23.7% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Babier | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fagundo | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lithen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McCandless | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.