Race 8B

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Millham 7.1% 7.2% 9.8% 9.7% 18.3% 29.0% 14.8% 3.6% 0.5%
Ian Towill 17.3% 19.5% 17.8% 20.0% 14.4% 8.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Mariel Marchand 19.1% 18.4% 18.5% 17.2% 14.4% 9.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Vincent Marchetto 11.2% 12.2% 14.1% 17.1% 18.4% 19.6% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Luke O'Connor 16.9% 17.4% 16.1% 15.3% 16.0% 12.8% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
William Howard 25.9% 22.3% 19.6% 15.5% 11.1% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Basseches 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 5.9% 25.2% 35.1% 26.1%
Anna Briggs 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 5.9% 28.0% 31.3% 26.3%
William Trumper 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 3.8% 16.6% 26.8% 46.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.