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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+4.71vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.80+2.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+1.71vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+5.05vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+3.49vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.77+2.05vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52-0.95vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-0.41vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.72vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52+1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.51-1.84vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.07-4.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.16vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.08vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.32-2.76vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.43-1.06vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.76-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Tulane University1.7310.8%1st Place
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4.75Georgetown University1.8015.6%1st Place
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4.71College of Charleston1.8115.0%1st Place
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9.05Jacksonville University0.484.6%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.3%1st Place
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8.05University of South Florida0.775.3%1st Place
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6.05Old Dominion University1.5210.5%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.926.8%1st Place
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7.28Northeastern University1.187.3%1st Place
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11.27Connecticut College0.522.4%1st Place
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9.16University of Hawaii0.514.5%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University1.076.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island-0.201.6%1st Place
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10.92Christopher Newport University-0.842.2%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University-0.321.4%1st Place
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14.94University of Michigan-1.430.6%1st Place
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13.15University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 15.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Lina Carper | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Marina Conde | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 7.0% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 9.4% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 50.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.