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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+4.63vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+2.64vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+4.58vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+3.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.80-0.29vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.51+2.25vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.52+3.22vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.63vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.52-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.77-2.86vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.76+0.25vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.32-1.75vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.24vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.48-7.19vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.43-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Tulane University1.7311.6%1st Place
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4.64College of Charleston1.8115.2%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.926.5%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University1.075.5%1st Place
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4.71Georgetown University1.8015.0%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.7%1st Place
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9.25University of Hawaii0.514.0%1st Place
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11.22Connecticut College0.523.0%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University1.186.2%1st Place
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6.23Old Dominion University1.529.6%1st Place
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8.14University of South Florida0.775.9%1st Place
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10.82Christopher Newport University-0.842.6%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont-0.761.4%1st Place
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12.25Fordham University-0.321.7%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island-0.201.8%1st Place
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8.81Jacksonville University0.484.4%1st Place
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14.83University of Michigan-1.430.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Emily Doble | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Laura Smith | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 19.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.