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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.78vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.99vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32+2.93vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.09+2.70vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.24+1.28vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology2.06+0.45vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.13-0.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-2.80vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.84-4.56vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology2.06-3.55vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-0.27vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.20-2.85vs Predicted
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15Hamilton College0.75-3.89vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.06-5.62vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland2.09-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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3.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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4.99U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.93Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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7.28SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.45Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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7.45Columbia University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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5.44Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.45Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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11.73Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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11.11Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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10.38Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 24.0% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 21.0% | 37.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Webster | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 26.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Schwenger | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.