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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+3.69vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+3.76vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+3.27vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.80+0.85vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+2.40vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.52+5.57vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.51+2.06vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+0.75vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.07-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.77-1.73vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-3.16vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.48-2.71vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.85vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.32-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.43-0.91vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island-0.20-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69College of Charleston1.8115.1%1st Place
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5.76Tulane University1.7310.4%1st Place
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6.27Old Dominion University1.5210.2%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University1.8013.7%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University1.187.1%1st Place
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11.57Connecticut College0.521.7%1st Place
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9.06University of Hawaii0.515.2%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.835.6%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University1.075.8%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida0.775.8%1st Place
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7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.926.1%1st Place
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9.29Jacksonville University0.484.2%1st Place
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11.15Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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12.31Fordham University-0.321.8%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
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15.09University of Michigan-1.430.6%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island-0.202.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 7.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Lina Carper | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 5.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 12.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 55.9% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.