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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.24+6.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.40vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.80vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+2.21vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.06+2.81vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.84-0.53vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.13+0.24vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.20+2.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.97vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland2.09-3.33vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College0.75-0.73vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland2.09-5.33vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology2.06-6.19vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-3.44vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.06-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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4.8SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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7.81Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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5.47Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.24Columbia University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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11.27Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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7.81Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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11.56Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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10.4Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schoene | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 23.3% | 21.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 14.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Webster | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 27.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Schwenger | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.