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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+2.03vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University1.45+1.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.70-1.05vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.51-0.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.11-0.98vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.32-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.26-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Tufts University1.810.2%1st Place
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3.47Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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1.95Brown University2.700.4%1st Place
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3.48Salve Regina University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.02Boston University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.53Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 19.3% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 12.5% | 16.0% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 20.0% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Quinn Andersen | 44.8% | 29.2% | 15.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 12.4% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Anna Booras | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 22.5% | 26.5% | 14.4% | 2.7% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 17.1% | 73.4% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 47.7% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.