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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.11+2.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81+1.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70-2.06vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.51-1.52vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45-2.44vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.32-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.26-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Boston University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.04Tufts University1.810.2%1st Place
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1.94Brown University2.700.5%1st Place
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3.48Salve Regina University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.56Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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6.54Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Booras | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 26.2% | 14.5% | 3.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 18.0% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Quinn Andersen | 45.9% | 27.9% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 12.0% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 21.3% | 21.2% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 11.1% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 22.0% | 20.0% | 9.4% | 1.2% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 16.9% | 73.6% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 47.7% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.