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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University2.70-0.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81+0.01vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.51-0.59vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.11-1.00vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45-2.45vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.32-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.26-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Brown University2.700.5%1st Place
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3.01Tufts University1.810.2%1st Place
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3.41Salve Regina University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.0Boston University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.55Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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6.54Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Andersen | 47.2% | 25.2% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Pierre DuPont | 17.5% | 24.0% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 12.6% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 7.8% | 0.5% |
| Anna Booras | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 26.5% | 15.6% | 2.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 11.2% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 16.8% | 74.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 47.3% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.