Race 4A

donaghy-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Quinn Andersen 45.3% 28.3% 14.9% 8.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Genevieve Marquardt 12.6% 19.3% 20.4% 21.6% 17.8% 7.4% 0.9%
Anna Booras 8.1% 11.4% 16.4% 20.5% 27.0% 14.0% 2.6%
Pierre DuPont 18.5% 20.2% 23.5% 19.0% 15.5% 3.1% 0.2%
Kimberly Jackman 1.9% 3.0% 4.3% 6.7% 12.1% 49.1% 22.9%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 12.7% 16.9% 18.9% 21.1% 19.9% 8.7% 1.8%
Amelia Vinciguerra 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.9% 5.0% 17.2% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.