← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Boston University1.11+1.95vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.70-1.04vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.81-0.96vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut-0.26+0.63vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.51-2.52vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University1.45-3.51vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College-1.32-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.95Boston University1.110.1%1st Place
-
1.96Brown University2.700.5%1st Place
-
3.04Tufts University1.810.2%1st Place
-
5.63University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
-
3.48Salve Regina University1.510.1%1st Place
-
3.49Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
-
6.45Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Booras | 9.7% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 14.1% | 2.7% |
| Quinn Andersen | 45.4% | 28.6% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 17.0% | 21.6% | 24.1% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 47.5% | 23.7% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 13.1% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 23.2% | 18.7% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 12.5% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 17.6% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.