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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Salve Regina University1.51+1.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.11+0.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81-0.98vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University1.45-1.43vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.70-4.03vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.32-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.26-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Salve Regina University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.95Boston University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.02Tufts University1.810.2%1st Place
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3.57Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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1.97Brown University2.700.5%1st Place
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6.54Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genevieve Marquardt | 14.1% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Anna Booras | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 27.2% | 13.1% | 2.4% |
| Pierre DuPont | 17.6% | 21.3% | 23.7% | 20.6% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 11.9% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 20.8% | 9.3% | 1.2% |
| Quinn Andersen | 45.1% | 28.4% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 16.8% | 73.9% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 14.1% | 47.5% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.