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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.52+1.58vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.19-0.09vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+0.26vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-2.93+2.75vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.89-2.60vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.19vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.01-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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1.91Connecticut College2.190.5%1st Place
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3.26Salve Regina University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.75Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
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3.4Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.29Boston University0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Pfosi | 24.8% | 27.0% | 23.3% | 16.5% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 46.3% | 28.9% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 12.7% | 16.9% | 23.9% | 27.1% | 16.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| MATTHEW YOUNGER | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 14.7% | 81.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 10.3% | 16.2% | 24.1% | 25.9% | 19.2% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 62.4% | 17.5% |
| Stefanie Anderson | 5.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 41.4% | 15.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.